Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 3.948817 4.255602 4.584420 4.964713 5.394502 5.867636 6.431285
2025-03-23 3.493743 3.930833 4.431567 5.054704 5.819566 6.741732 7.960057
2025-03-30 3.114954 3.598598 4.176252 4.930253 5.909234 7.168835 8.968709
2025-04-06 2.836960 3.341374 3.962711 4.803700 5.944823 7.492788 9.857517
2025-04-13 2.618296 3.131042 3.778314 4.680581 5.950560 7.753233 10.676123
2025-04-20 2.468512 2.992700 3.669356 4.638692 6.051310 8.147004 11.756004
2025-04-27 2.392481 2.942023 3.668140 4.738968 6.359548 8.885493 13.551431
2025-05-04 2.331957 2.905662 3.680436 4.855075 6.699424 9.720368 15.726976
2025-05-11 2.240376 2.819848 3.615682 4.848660 6.842348 10.243536 17.445633
2025-05-18 2.165663 2.752082 3.570525 4.865439 7.020904 10.852618 19.521974
2025-05-25 2.052029 2.623102 3.428095 4.718544 6.906416 10.900640 20.346825
2025-06-01 1.950110 2.505896 3.296311 4.578393 6.788607 10.923723 21.121045
2025-06-08 1.871553 2.423632 3.219171 4.532530 6.854664 11.366943 23.263775
2025-06-15 1.831245 2.395711 3.223395 4.622540 7.183290 12.430892 27.699922
2025-06-22 1.747098 2.298648 3.115331 4.514534 7.126889 12.651129 29.738740
2025-06-29 1.669212 2.207166 3.010611 4.403654 7.051488 12.814120 31.703749
2025-07-06 1.597973 2.122461 2.911895 4.295540 6.969007 12.945398 33.662407
2025-07-13 1.547448 2.066841 2.856216 4.258713 7.025716 13.429503 37.364362
2025-07-20 1.526612 2.055345 2.870185 4.346837 7.351171 14.679039 45.587574
2025-07-27 1.509537 2.048602 2.891056 4.448723 7.720425 16.160934 57.099880
2025-08-03 1.472847 2.009510 2.856146 4.443098 7.850547 16.999351 66.388383
2025-08-10 1.442130 1.978504 2.833002 4.457810 8.029121 18.043821 79.301683
2025-08-17 1.387503 1.907536 2.739080 4.328897 7.854899 17.912314 82.689554